HIGHLIGHTS:
- A few showers & storms (not Beryl-related) possible for some through 9-10 p.m. Saturday evening
- As of Saturday afternoon, Beryl is a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico
- The storm is expected to strengthen into a hurricane over the weekend, making landfall Monday morning between Corpus Christi and Matagorda Bay
- A recent shift east in Beryl’s projected track likely means less rain for San Antonio
- Rainfall will vary SIGNIFICANTLY across our area. Higher totals favor those farther east, with much lower totals around San Antonio and points west
- Still, times of gusty winds are still possible throughout the day Monday, especially along and east of I-35
CHANGES IN BERYL’S PATH:
Beryl’s path has recently shifted to the east, likely making landfall and bringing direct impacts to an area between Corpus Christi/Matagorda Bay Sunday night/Monday morning.
There are a couple of important points with this new development. One is that if it were to stay over water a little bit longer (ride the Texas coast vs. moving inland), then further intensification and more intense impacts to the coast may become an issue.
Additionally, this shift east places San Antonio on the drier side of the storm, resulting in lower rainfall totals.
BERYL SCENARIOS FOR SAN ANTONIO:
This is important: Beryl’s path can still shift from now until landfall. While the current track favors less rain for San Antonio and some times of gusty winds Monday, there are still a couple of possibilities...
- IF BERYL MOVES WEST: This would mean more rain for the Alamo City Monday. It would also mean gustier winds, potentially up to 60 mph
- IF BERYL MOVES EAST: This would mean no rain for San Antonio. It would also be much warmer.
Just a matter of miles and another wobble to Beryl’s position will impact who sees the more impressive rain Monday versus who doesn’t locally.
Bottom line: keep checking back for more updates! We’ll be tracking this very closely over the next few days.
BERYL SCENARIO FOR OUR EASTERN COUNTIES:
If this current track holds, our far eastern counties (specifically Lavaca, DeWitt, and Gonzales counties) would see the higher rainfall totals and stronger wind gusts by the time all is said and done.
As of Saturday afternoon’s forecast, 40 to 50 mph winds accompanied by gusts upwards of 70 mph+ are looking possible for this area on Monday. The potential for rainfall totals upwards of 3 to 4 inches (with localized pockets of 6 to 10 inches) is not off the table. If that verifies, a few flooding issues will need to be monitored.
However, it’s worth re-iterating that another shift in Beryl’s path could impact these ranges.
In the meantime, a Flood Watch and Tropical Storm Warning have been issued for Lavaca and DeWitt counties.
TEXAS COAST IMPACTS SUNDAY/MONDAY
Even though landfall is expected between Corpus Christi and Matagorda Bay late Sunday/early Monday, it is still not a good weekend to take a trip anywhere across the Texas Coast.’
Regardless of landfall location, much of the Texas Coast will experience rain, high surf, rip currents, and at least some storm surge.
A large portion of the Texas Coast from Bay City to Corpus Christi is now under a Hurricane Warning until Beryl passes.
YOUR KSAT WEATHER AUTHORITY
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